Cernarus

FIRE Calculator (Financial Independence)

This FIRE planner helps you estimate the nest egg needed for Financial Independence under multiple pragmatic methods: a Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR) target, the Coast FIRE current-need, and a Time-to-FI projection based on current savings and contributions.

The tool uses user-supplied assumptions for returns, inflation, and contributions. Results are illustrative planning figures, not guarantees. See methodology and caveats for assumptions, sensitivity, and regulatory and technical standards used to validate the approach.

Updated Nov 10, 2025

Computes the retirement nest egg required to support your inflation-adjusted annual spending using a chosen safe withdrawal rate.

Inputs

Results

Updates as you type

FIRE target (by SWR)

$1,638,616.44

Inflation-adjusted annual spending at retirement

$65,544.66

Years until retirement

20

OutputValueUnit
FIRE target (by SWR)$1,638,616.44USD
Inflation-adjusted annual spending at retirement$65,544.66USD
Years until retirement20years
Primary result$1,638,616.44

Visualization

Methodology

Calculations are deterministic algebraic projections based on compound growth and standard withdrawal math. Inputs are treated as point estimates; real-world outcomes vary.

We follow best-practice software controls and data handling guidance aligned with standards for reliability and security, including NIST cybersecurity and risk-management guidance, ISO quality controls, and engineering best practices compatible with IEEE recommendations. Occupational safety governance referenced where relevant follows OSHA guidance for human factors in financial tools.

Accuracy notes: financial projections are sensitive to return and inflation assumptions and to withdrawal-rate selection. Backtesting or Monte Carlo analysis may be used alongside these deterministic methods to understand probabilities; this tool provides clear formulas and assumptions so users can validate and reproduce results.

Worked examples

Example: age 35, retire at 55 (20 years), current spending $40,000, inflation 2.5%, SWR 4% → inflation-adjusted spending ≈ $65,000; target ≈ $1,625,000.

Coast FIRE example: with expected real return 3.5% and 20 years to grow, the coast capital required is target / (1.035^20).

Time-to-FI example: with $50,000 current savings, $12,000 annual contribution, and 6% expected return, the model solves for years until the projected balance reaches the target.

Further resources

External guidance

Expert Q&A

Is the calculator a guarantee of outcomes?

No. Results are deterministic projections using your inputs. Actual investment returns, inflation, taxes, sequence of returns, and unexpected expenses will affect outcomes. Use these outputs for planning and scenario comparison, not as guarantees.

What safe withdrawal rate should I use?

The choice of SWR is a planning decision that balances prudence with lifestyle. Common starting points are 3%–4%, but use sensitivity analysis to see how different rates affect your target. Consider professional advice for personalized plans.

Why do projections vary from other calculators?

Differences arise from assumptions (nominal vs real returns), inflation treatment, tax assumptions, and whether tools include Monte Carlo or backtesting. This tool shows explicit formulas so differences can be traced to input choices.

Are taxes and healthcare costs included?

You can approximate future taxes using the effective tax rate input. Healthcare, social benefits, and other irregular costs should be added to annual spending estimates to include them in the target calculation.

Sources & citations